Before kickoff today, The Athletic’s NFL Playoff Simulator projects that the Dallas Cowboys have a 37% chance of making the 2026 playoffs.

However, should Dak Prescott’s 4-5 club take down Brock Purdy’s 7-1 San Francisco 49ers at their home AT&T Stadium, their odds jump to 52%.

While returning to .500 for the first time since Week 4 would be huge for the franchise, a win is somewhat unlikely today.

Linemakers give San Francisco a 3.5- to 4-point edge this afternoon.

“The 49ers’ defense is starting to put it together,” The Arizona Republic noted in a vote of confidence for the NFC West leaders. “Brock Purdy will outduel Dak Prescott in Dallas.”

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